New England Patriots can cover largest point spread in history

With just two games to go, it is still all to play for in the AFC as just two of the six playoff places are currently filled, so there is plenty to look forward to in week 16. The Steelers and the Ravens are fighting it out in the AFC North, while the Texans and the Titans are neck and neck in the AFC South. The Patriots have run away with the AFC East, but the Dolphins are in with a great shout of earning a wildcard. The Oakland Raiders have qualified for the playoffs for the first time since 2002 after beating the Chargers last weekend, but they are still not guaranteed to win their division as the Chiefs are still breathing down their necks. It promises to be another spectacular weekend, full of twists and turns as these teams go for broke.

Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills

Miami is 9-5 and hoping for a wildcard spot, but face a tough challenge when they travel to Buffalo, who are 7-7 and have only the slimmest chance of making the playoffs. Still, the Bills are better at rushing, point scoring and red zone performance than the Dolphins and are likely to derail their wildcard bid this weekend. They are odds-on favourites to win this but you can get evens with Sky Bet on them covering a -3.5 spread.

New York Jets at New England Patriots

The Pats are on a five-game winning streak, have the best record in the league and have been installed as 11/5 favourites to win the Super Bowl with 888 Sport. They host a Jets team that is down and out, with a 4-10 record leaving them bottom of the division. It should prove a complete mismatch, and as such, the best price you can get on the Patriots is 1/14 with Ladbrokes. Bookmakers are offering the largest point spread in history on the Pats, -16.5, and you can get 10/11 on that with Bet365, William Hill and various others. They have been outscoring the Jets by nine points on average this season, so there is a gap to make up, but their offence and defence are on fire at the moment, and the Jets are expected to roll over, so that actually looks a good bet.

Indianapolis Colts at Oakland Raiders

The Raiders are going to the playoffs, but they still need to keep winning to ensure a favourable schedule. The Colts are 7-7 and have a tiny chance of making it, but the Raiders should crush those hopes in front of their jubilant home fans. Back the Raiders to cover a -3.5 spread at 10/11 with William Hill, Bet Victor and Bet365.

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs

This is a huge game for both teams. The Chiefs have a chance of beating Oakland as division winners so will be going all out while reigning Super Bowl champions the Broncos will be out of the playoff picture if they lose. The Chiefs have been the better team this season, however, and should cover a -3.5 spread at evens with Bet365.

Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers

The Steelers can clinch the NFC North by beating Baltimore in the big Christmas Day game. The Steelers have been better at passing and rushing than the Ravens over the course of the season and come into this match on a five-game winning streak that has seen them emerge as dark horses for the conference. They should make it six in a row here, and the 10/11 Boylesports has on them covering a -4.5 spread looks good.

Swan Form Looks Strong For Japan’s Mile Championship

Japanese horse racing doesn’t register on the radar for most punters but it should – the thoroughbred scene in the Land of the Rising Sun is among the richest on the planet matched by the quality of the racing stock. The country’s leading runners will be highlighted over the next few weeks with the focus on Kyoto on Sunday for the latest running of the International Grade 1 Mile Championship. Kyoto is a fairly traditional US-style track, with a long run to the first corner from the 1600-metre start.

A short downhill chute takes runners to the second turn then into the home straight and within sight of a slice of the JPY 200,700,000 (approximately USD $2 million). First run in 1984, the Mile Championship is run at set weights (57kg) and is considered a stepping stone to the Hong Kong Mile as part of International Day at Sha Tin on December 11. It is the second race in the Japan Autumn International Series of races. Some big names have won the Mile Championship, including successive wins for Taiki Shuttle (1997 and 1998), Durandal (2003 and 2004) and Daiwa Major (2006 and 2007).

The race has been run on firm ground in the past three years, and just three favourites have saluted over the past decade. Race favourites have won 14 times in the three-decade history of the race. A field of 19 horses nominated for the feature race, including two three-year-olds – Lord Quest and Spectre. The last three-year-old to win the race was Agnes Digital in 2000. Unfortunately, the German-trained filly, Spectre, has been declared a non-starter, leaving a field of 18. Incredibly, eight of the 18 runners are sired from Deep Impact, the 2006 Japan Cup winner.

Satono Aladdin ($3.90) looks ideally placed here. The five-year-old by Deep Impact is coming off an impressive win in the Grade 2 Swan Stakes last month, as well as finishing a fourth in this year’s Grade 1 Yasuda Kinen. He was fourth in last year’s Mile Championship and has won seven times from 21 starts. He’s trained by Yasutoshi Ikee, who has a handy knack of getting horses just right. The value runner is Neorealism – this 5-year-old is tackling a Grade 1 (and the Kyoto circuit) for the first time. He caught the attention of the local racing fraternity when beating Maurice in the Grade 2 Sapporo Kinen (2000m) when leading all the way. He is six wins from 14 starts and is trained by one of the leading trainers Noriyuki Hori.

• Many of the better US 2-year-olds which didn’t in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile gather for this weekend’s $1 million Grade III Delta Downs Jackpot in Vinton, Louisiana. This year’s renewal includes winners from California, Kentucky, Minnesota and New York. The list features Dangerfield, Tip Tap Tapizar and Gunnevera but will all be chasing Line Judge, a Spring At Last colt that has won three successive races including the local prep for this, the $200,000 Jean Laffite. The Joe Sharp trainee has been dominant in all three wins and could be a major player in the battle for the 2017 Triple Crown.

Friday Horse Racing Tips

Well well, a full house yesterday! The godolphin horse hosed up after a monster gamble on the eventual favourite went astray, love it. Also, Tapis Libre did us proud, you can’t fault his work rate, getting up in the dying strides over the well supported favourite Sky Kahn.

Today i’m going to stay loyal to a horse in form as usual.

Red Baron 3:50 Haydock 4/1 Willaim Hill

This should really be an each way bet to nothing. Before racking up a double, Red Baron finished 2nd in his previous 5 starts, an each way backers dream. He’s up 7lbs for his last win, but the jockey claims 3, which is a help. Two runs back he got the better of todays 2nd favourite Imperial Legend easily enough and should have a great chance of getting the hattrick today on everything we know.

There are some useful sorts in this race however, another hattirck seeker in Sleepy Blue Ocean and the fairly consistant Six Wives. So i doubt it’ll be plain sailing, although i am more than happy to put this up as one of the main bets for today, each way.

Fossola 3:35 Nottingham 9/4 William Hill

This is madness! I am tipping up a horse that has never raced. Why? Godolphin are quite literally on fire. This half sister to Dubai World Cup winner Moterosso is greatly respected on debut. Godolphin are really good at preparing a horse to win on debut, as shown countless times over the last month or so especially. Bonanza Creek is the obvious danger. Luca Cumani’s horse is well bred, and finished 4th on debut, there could easily be more to come from her. I will however stick with Fossola for small stakes, mainly to watch the race to see how well she runs, if she hoses up she could be a juicy notebook horse, along with so many of Godolphins 2 year olds.

Horse Racing Tips Thursday

Took the day off yesterday as i didn’t feel strongly about anything, but as it turns out a few of the bets i did actually came in! I should of put them up. I don’t like to aftertime, but Khothry getting up at Killarney at 6-1 on the line was rather nice..

Sadiq 15:50 Brighton 6/4 Stanjames

I have a massive soft spot for Godolphin horses at the moment, and you should do too. They are firing on all cylinders big time right now, and every runner should be given the upmost respect. Today Godolphin are represented at Brighton by Sadiq, a last time out winner. I must admit though, i know absolutely nothing about the jockey onboard, all i do know is he is claiming 7! So approach this with a little bit of caution, purely for this reason.

He’s potentially the classiest horse in the race and should run a great race if his jockey is up for it.

Tapis libre 18:10 9/4 Boylesports

As you well know, i love horses in form. This horse is no exception, as he goes for a 4 timer today. A close friend of mine has a rule that goes something like this

“3 wins on the bounce is ok, 4 is greedy”

I tend to ignore him, and some times it comes back to haunt me, but today i will most definitely be backing this horse regardless of his rule. Joanna Mason claims 5, and almost wipes out his 6lb hike in the weights for his latest win. Sky Khan is a worthy favourite, having scooted up last time at Leicester.

One thing that may put punters off backing this selection is the fact it’s a ladies amateur race. However, Tapis Libre has been almost exclusively campaigned in lad amateur races this year, maybe he prefers the gentle touch of a women? Who doesn’t.

Horse Racing Tips 16th July 2013

After a weekend of group races we’re now back into the daily grind of low grade handicaps, but fear not, there are always a few standout bets each day, and today is no exception.

Zalzilah 14:15 Bath 7/4 Stanjames

To quote someone i spoke to last night about this horse “Shoe in, absolute shoe in against this lot”. If you read the bare form of 61040 you wouldn’t automatically echo this guys enthusiasm, but let me break it down. Let’s go back to his maiden victory, in that race, he slaughtered the opposition by 6lengths at Beverely, his connections then decided they had a decent enough horse to go to war with in order to obtain black type. He was entered in the Investec Woodcote stakes where he finished 10th, then dropped a grade to class 2 where he finished 4th beaten 4 lengths then back up to listed company to contest the Windors castle stakes at Royal Ascot.

Now connections are back to earth with a bang, back down to class 5 he goes. His 4th in a class 2 race puts him head and shoulders above this lot, and a reproduction of the form he showed there, and in his class 6 maiden demolition puts him in a very strong position for this race.

Croqembouche 15:45 Bath 6/4 Stanjames

17 runs, 3 wins, 3 ends and 1 third. That is Croqembouche’s record to date. He win’s in turn, every time his mark goes higher than 72 he struggles to win, let alone place. Today he runs off 73, but the placing of the horse gives him a massive chance of breaking a personal best to win today. Take a note won several times between 60-71, but is now 75 and finding life tougher.

The manner in which Croqembouche won at Bath last time (made all, clear inside final furlong and eased down close home) suggests a reproduction of that would put him in with a great shout of winning today. The fact Take A Note has been running in 0-85 races and been beaten easily on the all weather worries me slightly, a switch to turf could see the best of him, but i’m happy to stick with Croqembouche, small stakes.

Let’s hope for a profitable tuesday!