After a weekend of group races we’re now back into the daily grind of low grade handicaps, but fear not, there are always a few standout bets each day, and today is no exception.
Zalzilah 14:15 Bath 7/4 Stanjames
To quote someone i spoke to last night about this horse “Shoe in, absolute shoe in against this lot”. If you read the bare form of 61040 you wouldn’t automatically echo this guys enthusiasm, but let me break it down. Let’s go back to his maiden victory, in that race, he slaughtered the opposition by 6lengths at Beverely, his connections then decided they had a decent enough horse to go to war with in order to obtain black type. He was entered in the Investec Woodcote stakes where he finished 10th, then dropped a grade to class 2 where he finished 4th beaten 4 lengths then back up to listed company to contest the Windors castle stakes at Royal Ascot.
Now connections are back to earth with a bang, back down to class 5 he goes. His 4th in a class 2 race puts him head and shoulders above this lot, and a reproduction of the form he showed there, and in his class 6 maiden demolition puts him in a very strong position for this race.
Croqembouche 15:45 Bath 6/4 Stanjames
17 runs, 3 wins, 3 ends and 1 third. That is Croqembouche’s record to date. He win’s in turn, every time his mark goes higher than 72 he struggles to win, let alone place. Today he runs off 73, but the placing of the horse gives him a massive chance of breaking a personal best to win today. Take a note won several times between 60-71, but is now 75 and finding life tougher.
The manner in which Croqembouche won at Bath last time (made all, clear inside final furlong and eased down close home) suggests a reproduction of that would put him in with a great shout of winning today. The fact Take A Note has been running in 0-85 races and been beaten easily on the all weather worries me slightly, a switch to turf could see the best of him, but i’m happy to stick with Croqembouche, small stakes.
Let’s hope for a profitable tuesday!
Betfair:
Bet on Henrik Stenson to become the BMW PGA Championship Winner.
Paddypower:
Back Australia to take the Ashes home with them.
Betway:
Back Rafael Nadal to become the Mens French Open Winner.
Coral:
Back One For Arthur to win the Grand National.
Bet365:
Back Mexico to win the Confederations Cup.
