Tag: Noble Mission

Champion Stakes Preview

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

The Group 1 Champion Stakes is the feature race on Champions Day at Ascot on Saturday with a maximum field of eleven. That number is likely to be reduced further after persistent rained turned the going to heavy by midweek.

The quality of the race is certainly not up to standard following the enforced retirement of Derby winner Australia. Several other leading contenders have also fallen by the wayside and second favourite Free Eagle could join them unless the going improves by Saturday morning. Dermot Weld has already said that his lightly-raced colt will not be risked on heavy ground.

One trainer who is not overly concerned by the weather is Madame Barande-Barbe who has aimed Cirrus Des Aigles at this race for some time. Formerly the top rated racehorse in the world, the eight-year-old won this race in 2011 and has finished runner-up for the past two seasons. He has been first past the post in his last four races, although he was subsequently disqualified at Longchamp for causing interference.

His winning margin of a head over Fractional is not earth-shattering form but it was his first run since beating Flintshire in the Coronation Cup at Epsom in the summer. He pulled up with an injury that day and will surely improve for his comeback race. Last year’s Derby winner Ruler Of The World gained his first win since his classic triumph when winning the Prix Foy under a front-running ride from Frankie Dettori. He was unable to repeat that effort in the Arc when finishing fifth behind Treve and I am not convinced that he really likes deep ground.

Noble Mission has lived under the tag of Frankel’s brother throughout his racing career but has not done too badly himself. He is probably not within 20lbs of his brother but could follow his sibling into the history books in this prestigious race. He has won two Group 1 races this season and was just beaten in a slog last time out. He has been the mainstay of Lady Cecil’s yard in a disappointing season and will put up his usual game display.

Free Eagle has a lot to prove even if he does run and it is very difficult to make a case for anything else. Al Kazeem does not seem to be the force that he was last season while Sheikhzayedroad and Pethers Moon are grand servants to their respective connections but have never looked up to Group 1 class. Cirrus Des Aigles may be in the autumn of his illustrious career but he should still be too good for these.

Cirrus Des Aigles @6-4 Skybet

Chester Thursday Preview

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

The feature race on day 2 of the Chester May meeting is the Chester Vase, a recognised Derby trial. Nothing leaps out of the page as an Epsom candidate this year, although the most likely candidates are supplied as usual by Aidan O’Brien.

He saddles Carlo Bugatti and Orchestra here and it is interesting that Joseph is on board the former who will wear blinkers for the first time. You wouldn’t normally take that as a good sign, especially for a horse having only his third race. It is in response to his fourth place behind Fascinating Rock in the Ballysax Stakes at Navan last month.

I would much rather side with Ryan Moore’s mount, Orchestra. He is an imposing son of Galileo who won his maiden at Tipperary in August after chasing home Free Eagle on his debut. He is currently 40-1 for Epsom but O’Brien is not averse to running several in the classics so a good show here could bring him into contention.

The card kicks off at 1.45 with a competitive handicap featuring several familiar names. Those with good memories will recall that Yeager did us a good turn at Ascot last season before being ambitiously aimed at Arlington. He flopped there but was hampered during the race and made a pleasing return to form at Lingfield last month. He has a good draw and is worth a chance at around 5-1. Squire Osbaldeston and Makafeh are others to note for the coming weeks.

The Huxley Stakes sees a rematch between Noble Mission and Telescope from Sandown. The former had nine lengths to spare that day and is it realistic to expect a different outcome here? The Stoute team seem to think so but he looked beaten fair and square that day and I expect Noble Mission to confirm the form. The one most likely to spoil the party is Ektihaam who looked promising until slipping up at Royal Ascot last season.

The final televised race is the seven furlong handicap at 3.15 and Captain Bob looks the one to be on here. He ran some good races as a two-year-old without winning but starts the season on a good handicap mark as a result. He won without Dettori having to use his stick at Warwick, bowled along nicely at the head of affairs and should go well here.

Yeager 1.45 Chester at 6-1 BetVictor

Noble Mission 2.15 Chester at 11-4 Betfair

Orchestra 2.45 Chester at 4-1 Paddy Power

Captain Bob 3.15 Chester at 5-1 BetVictor

Ascot 2013 – Each Way Betting Though The Card

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

I have been having some fun at Ascot this year by betting each way through the card. My fellow tipsters think I am crazy but I have already turned a profit of £300. The way I have been playing this madness is by studying the form of the races one by one and picking out the following.

1. Has the horse placed in its last three run out?
2. Has the horse run the distance in its last three run outs?
3. Whats the distance compared to the Racing Post Top Speed rating?
4. Who the stable is and jockey?
5. What is the Racing Post rating for the horse?
6. Has the horse run on this ground before and placed or won?
7. Is the price good for a mega EW accumulator or EW single.

Has the horse placed in its last three run out?

I always look for a horse that has shown it can run the race its been entered in for. I then look for if its been placed in the last three of its races. This gives me confidence that this horse can place again. With the right jockey and ground it will give me the place if its got a track record of placing and winning.

Has the horse run the distance in its last three run outs?

If the horse has never run the distance then it has to be a horse that is showing some improvement. But to be honest for this type of bet you really need to lower the odds and select a horse that has run in the same or a better class race and has placed or run over the distance or more.

Who the stable is and jockey?

It is very important to know that Jockeys do have a major impact of the performance of a horse when it is racing. The Jockey will know how to ride the horse and get the best from the horse. Simple things like riding the horse in to the areas of the track which best suit the horses form, so getting the horse running in a more firmer part of the track rather than a softer part. Plus he will know when to push the horse so it can kick on to the finish. You will see the top jockeys know there horses and will ride the horse a few times in meetings before the race you are about to bet in. If a top jockey is going to ride a horse and swop from one stable to another that’s a good sign that this horse has a chance to place.

What is the Racing Post rating for the horse?

The Racing Post rating give you an indication of the quality of the horse and who its has run against and beat or placed. Its a good indication of the class of the horse and if its worth a punt in a race or just been entered so it gains a better rating in future races. Don’t be fooled by the Racing Post Rating it can sometimes be blown apart if a good horse is having a bad day and a new up and coming horse is having a good day. So air with caution when picking horses just on the Racing Post Ratings.

Has the horse run on this ground before and placed or won?

The ground does play a big part in a horses performance. Some horses really like soft ground and will run in mud and win. Some like it hard and will bounce off hard ground as if it was like rubber. You should always look if a horse has run and won or placed consistently on its preferred ground. The great horses can run on anything and win but they are very few and far between. You should always be cautious of horses that run on AW and then switch to turf as they are two different types of surface and not many horse cross between both and win or place. Stables will enter there horses in to All Weather races so give them a run out plus to keep them in the ratings. So don’t be put off by bad form if the horse is a Turf runner and has a bad day or night on the All Weather track.

Is the price good for a mega EW accumulator or EW single.

My final and foremost thing I look for is the value for my accumulator. I am looking for over 6/1 as then it will form a very good accumulator across the card. Don’t take SP always take the price and with a bookie that gives you Best Odds Guaranteed.

So here are my horses for the final day at Ascot 2013. I would suggest you pick and choose and make up small £1 EW bets throughout the day or maybe do a placepot or scoop6 on Totesport.

Have fun punting and don’t forget to join our mailing list for great tips on all sports.

Ascot – 2:30

Somewhat – 7/2 Will Hill
Bureau – 20/1 20/1 Will Hill
Freedom Square – 12/1 Ladbrokes
Bunker – 3/1 Coral
Friendship – 9/1 Skybet
Autumn Lily – 8/1 Paddy Power

Ascot – 3:05

Aiken – 10/1 Coral
Noble Mission – 12/1 Coral
Thomas Chippingdale – 11/1 Coral

Ascot – 3:45

Lethal Force – 10/1 Bet365
Maarek – 20/1 Will Hill
Dandy Boy – 12/1 Bet365

Ascot – 4:25

Gabriels Lad – 10/1 Will Hill
Pooles Harbour – 18/1 Ladbrokes
Royal Rock – 20/1 Coral
Nocturn – 11/1 Paddypower
Arnold Lane – 28/1 Coral
Prodigality – 22/1 Coral

Ascot – 5:00

The Tiger – 20/1 Bet365
Carvan Rolls – 7/1 Will Hill
Stencive – 8/1 Skybet
Rye House – 6/1 Coral
Beaumonts Party – 14/1 Skybet
Ustura – 9/1 Ladbrokes
Voddoo Prince – 20/1 Will Hill

Ascot – 5:35

Junior – 12/1 Bet365
Stopped Out – 14/1 Coral