Newmarket July Cup Preview

Things didn’t quite work out for us last week even though we got great value with our ante-post prices. Albasharah (tipped at 6-1) was backed to 5-4 favourite but could do no better than third. Mars (20-1) finished fourth whilst I feared the chances of Wentworth when he was drawn in the car park. In the circumstances he didn’t run badly at all and surely has a decent race in him.

The show moves on to the carnival atmosphere of the July course at Newmarket with the July Cup on Saturday. This has all the makings of a championship race with three Royal Ascot winners set to clash.

Sole Power was overlooked at Ascot after his sub-standard run in Haydock’s Temple Stakes. There was a general opinion that he had gone off the boil from the dazzling form that he showed at Newmarket and perhaps his spring campaign in Dubai had taken its toll. Not a bit of it. He was brilliantly produced by Johnny Murtagh to cut down Shea Shea late on and reverse placings with those that had beaten him soundly at Haydock.

Among them was Reckless Abandon, third at Haydock but only fifth at Ascot. I was surprised that connections opted for the King’s Stand Stakes rather than the six-furlong Diamond Jubilee Stakes. Clive Cox also saddles Lethal Force who showed that his York run behind Society Rock was no fluke when winning at Ascot. The runner-up had to take an unusual route to throw down his challenge but appeared to be well held at the line.

Gale Force Ten is an intriguing runner having won the seven-furlong Jersey Stakes. He looked to be in trouble when Montiridge loomed up alongside but pulled out more in the closing stages. There has been plenty of money for him from 10-1 down to 7-1 but I’m just a little concerned that he will be tapped for toe early on.

Sovereign Debt is another curious participant having been racing over a mile. He was an 80-1 shot when second to Farhh in the Lockinge but ran well below that at Ascot. He ought to have been closer to the runner-up Aljamaaheer even if we allow for Declaration Of War’s improvement.

The bookies have made Shea Shea favourite after his run behind Sole Power and have no doubt that he will reverse the form. Sole Power is as big as 14-1 due to the fact that he has never won over six furlongs. The South African won his race on the far side fair and square but cannot even have seen the Irish horse arriving on the opposite side of the course.

Sole Power’s stable companion Slade Power missed the break in the Jubilee and did well to finish as close as he did. He then won well over five furlongs at the Curragh and could run into a place here. It is difficult to make a case for any of the others.

The draw may come into play again here but Shea Shea is just about the form pick and 9-2 still represents a little bit of value.

Shea Shea 9-2 Paddy Power

Tipsy Tipsters Royal Ascot Ante Post Selections

Here we are. It’s nearly that time of the year were the racing world gets ready for 5 days worth of quality group action down at Royal Ascot.

Before I begin, i will have to declare a massive interest in Animal Kingdom. I managed to get 5/2 just before rumours of Farhh’s withdrawal was announced, for a sizable chunk. Smug is the word to describe that bet, as Animal Kingdom now finds itself down to 4/6 with the majority of the bookies. So confident i am that this horse will win on the day i imagine it’ll go off at 1/2 or so, and I won’t even think twice about laying some of my potential profit off. Not sure I can even put you off if you can find some 8/11, on all known form and the weak opposition, it should be a walk in the park for the Dubai World Cup & Kentucky Derby winner.

Here is a cheeky treble of other runners I fully expect to contract in price drastically on the day. My suggestion is to get on now.

52.6/1 William Hill

Shea Shea 9/4 King Stand Stakes
Stubbs 9/2 Coventry Stakes
Al Kazeem 2/1 Prince Of Wale’s Stakes

Shea Shea, the horse from South Africa, over two races in Meydan broke his own track record. Won the Group 1 Al Quoz Sprint on Dubai World Cup night in easy enough fashion. Has settled well into the UK training regime at Newmarket. The one to beat. Stubbs has the world at his feet, a potentially class animal from the all conquering Aidan O Brian team. Potentially a tough race on paper, but the dogs have been barking for this one. And finally, Al Kazeem. Turned up the last day to beat Camelot (who re-opposes) over in Ireland to spring what many people thought was a surprise. Many shrewdys didn’t think it was a surprise however, I was on him, were you? If he runs a similar race he should be far too good for Camelot again.

£526 + from £10? with William Hill – That will do nicely.

Royal Ascot Sprint Race Ante-Post Preview

Two of the championship races of the sprint season take place at Royal Ascot next week. The King’s Stand Stakes over five furlongs starts the ball rolling and there seems to be plenty of confidence in South African raider Shea Shea.

He is a firm favourite on the basis of two blistering performances in Meydan in March. Mike de Kock’s six-year-old easily beat Sole Power by two and a half lengths in the Meydan Sprint and then followed up by easing to victory in the Group 1 Al Quoz Sprint. Sole Power was beaten about the same distance into fourth with Spirit Quartz and Medicean Man well beaten in both races.

On the bare form, Shea Shea must have a great chance. Whether or not he is entitled to be 5-2 I am not sure. If you factor in the time between races, the travelling and the different surface, there must be some hope for the opposition. Sole Power looked impressive in the Palace House Stakes but was never going to win at Haydock next time and it could be that he has peaked for the season.

Spirit Quartz has followed more or less the same programme as Sole Power and managed to get his head in front in France last week. He has been running his usual honest races and will surely land a Group 1 prize sooner or later. He is currently trading at a generous 27-1 on Betfair. Trainer Robert Cowell is also the current handler of veteran Kingsgate Native and he followed up a fine second at Newmarket with victory in the Temple Stakes.

Arguments have been put forward for Swiss Spirit (2nd) and Reckless Abandon (3rd) to reverse the form at the Royal meeting and consequently Kingsgate Native is still available at 14-1. Swiss Spirit was hampered at the start but looked flat out most of the way. I fully respect the run of Reckless Abandon and he may have been unlucky to be on the far side. It was a most encouraging effort but I just have a feeling that the six furlong race would suit him better. In terms of value, I have to side with Kingsgate Native at an each-way price.

The six furlong Diamond Jubilee Stakes looks the weaker of the two sprints with Shea Shea and Restless Abandon swerving it in favour of the King’s Stand. That has left Society Rock as favourite following his win in the Duke Of York Stakes.

I was on Hawkeyethenoo that day and felt a little aggrieved not to be collecting place money at least. Graham Lee has made a smooth transition to flat race riding but he was not at his best that day, failing to seize the opportunity to challenge wide before eventually running on strongly in fourth. Society Rock is priced at around 9-2 whilst Hawkeyethenoo is still available at 16-1. Jim Goldie’s eight-year-old was only beaten a little over a length by the winner and the difference in prices means that he has to be given another chance.

King’s Stand
Kingsgate Native 14-1 William Hill

Spirit Quartz 27-1 Betfair

Diamond Jubilee
Hawkeyethenoo 16-1 William Hill