Thursday 17th April Horse Racing Tips

Poor Sky Lantern. Thought he had it when all the other horses around her were being firmly ridden, wasn’t expecting the eventual winner to sprout wins and go by, nevermind..

Move In Time – 15:30 Newmarket – NAP – 11/2 VCBet

I could of been super boring here and gone for Toronado in the Craven, but i couldn’t tip another oddson horse after the major disappointment of Elusive Hawk last week!

Move In Time. What do we know about this horse? He won a weak Musslebrough maiden after switching stables to David O’Meara, then won a big field handicap at Doncaster last Saturday in some style. If he isnt any worse for wear, he should have an great chance. Season big-field handicappers like Hawkeythenoo and The Cheka oppose today, the former certainly couldnt be ruled out as he’s won on his seasonal reappearance before.

We’re going to stick with a previous listed winner in Move In Time, this is super competitive, and i could spend all night making a case out for many of these runners, but i won’t. Let’s hope Move In Time brings home the chicken!

Newmarket Craven Stakes Day Preview

Garswood kept up the good work for us on the opening day of the Craven meeting, running out a most impressive winner of the European Free Handicap. Such is the nature of racing these days that any horse that wins a half decent race is given quotes for everything from the Derby to the Boat race! However, I was surprised to see Garswood being quoted for the 2000 Guineas.

Before the race even trainer Richard Fahey had some reservations about whether or not he would stay seven furlongs. The colt dispelled those fears by winning with his ears pricked but you have to question whether or not it was classic form. I don’t think I shall be re-investing the winnings at 25-1 for the Guineas but he certainly looks one to follow.

Talking of re-investing winnings, Wednesday’s card poses a problem with our 9-1 Doncaster winner Move In Time turning out quickly for the Group 3 Abernant Stakes. At first glance this looks like a stiff task after winning a handicap off 95 on Saturday. Even if we give him a rating of 100 for his victory he still has to find at least 7lb with Captain Ramius, Hawkeyethenoo, Jimmy Styles, The Cheka and Tiddliwinks. Of those, Captain Ramius is race fit having chased home Jack Dexter at Doncaster but he might need seven furlongs on this better ground. I tipped Hawkeyethenoo when he won the Stewards Cup last season so I have plenty of time for his chances and The Cheka usually runs well fresh. With the bookies going 5-1 the field, I think I am going to have to put this race in the “too difficult” drawer.

A field of just four for the Craven Stakes is disappointing but they are all smart colts. Richard Hannon runs Havana Gold and Toronado and the vibes from the stable suggest that the latter is a genuine classic contender. Dundonnell and Tawhid are no slouches and this could be a very tactical affair. Another potential classic colt is on show in the Tattersalls Millions Trophy when Ghurair is expected to go off odds-on favourite. On official ratings he has the best part of a stone in hand on this lot but he is untried over a mile and a quarter. There are some promising types in the field, notably Luca Cumani’s Greatwood who looks sure to relish the extra distance. The stable had a runner in the Nell Gwynn Stakes today that ran very poorly so I shall keep a watchful eye on Greatwood for the time being.

The Nell Gwynn produced a 10-1 winner in Hot Snap, trained by Sir Henry Cecil. Although she beat a good sort in Sky Lantern it seems a little early to be making her 1000 Guineas favourite. Bookies slashed her odds to 5-1 from 40-1! Connections were apparently thinking about the Coronation Stakes as her main target before the race but will presumably run her at Newmarket now. I’d rather see the other trials before wading in at those sort of odds.

I do have one bet for Thursday and it is provided by Move In Time’s trainer David O’Meara. Bet365 have chalked up Sandy Lane at 2-1 for the 4.30 at Ripon tomorrow. The horse had the race won two furlongs out last time and could have won by fifteen lengths. Enough said!

Sandy Lane 4.30 Ripon 2-1 Bet365

Doncaster 13th April Preview

The flat turf racing season is slowly creaking into gear and will take centre stage next week with Newmarket’s Craven meeting. Saturday’s card at Doncaster is a league or two below that but there is some good competitive sport on offer.

The most interesting race on the card is the Doncaster Mile. The field has been reduced to six by the late withdrawal of Moonstone Magic and tactics are sure to play a big part. The one that I’m particularly interested in is Richard Fahey’s Gabrial. He was a smart three-year-old but inclined to hang during his races, a trait that he displayed when flashing past a good field at Haydock last season. He was very highly tried after that, even finding himself in the same race as Frankel at Goodwood. He is not in that class and has been gelded during the summer to keep his mind on the job. Kieren Fallon has the job of navigating his way through this small field.

The horse that I expect to prove the most serious obstacle is the tough and consistent Highland Knight. Andrew Balding’s six-year-old went on to win a Group 2 at Baden-Baden after making all in a decent handicap at Epsom. I would be very surprised if Liam Keniry does not adopt the front-running role here with Fallon stalking him on Gabrial. At 4-1, it is worth taking a chance that Gabrial is a more tractable customer than last season.

The bet365 Handicap looks almost impossible to solve. Twenty runners go to post over six furlongs with Cammidge Trophy winner Jack Dexter heading the weights. He had Our Jonathon just behind him in third that day but it could be closer on Saturday if the going stays good. My own view is that it wasn’t a particularly strong race in the Cammidge and they could both be vulnerable to something from lower in the handicap.

Thunderball won a handicap here last time out and is re-opposed by Spinatrix (2nd), King of Jazz (3rd) and Shropshire (4th). You could make a case for any of them here but Thunderball was always handy and stuck to his guns in the closing stages. He could confirm the places although I am wary of Shropshire who was going on well at the finish.

There is a host of other contenders including Sir Michael Stoute’s Duke of Firenze. His place at the head of the market owes more to the fact that he has been kept in training by Sir Michael than his actual form. Move In Time bolted up at Musselburgh on his first start for David O’Meara and could be an improver. The question mark is whether he actually stays six furlongs with all of his best form over five. His odds have been cut from 14-1 to a top price of 9-1 with Paddy Power and it could pay to follow the market.

Gabrial 4-1 William Hill
Move In Time 9-1 Paddy Power