Tottenham vs Middlesbrough – Spurs looking to bounce back

High flying Spurs have taken 2 points from the last two games, including a disappointing 0-0 draw away against lowly Sunderland last Tuesday. They are looking to bounce back at home against a Boro side hovering above the relegation zone.

Playing catch up

Spurs’ form over the Christmas period was truly breathtaking, winning 7/8, including against bitter rivals Chelsea, a game that gave oxygen to the title race. But recent draws against Man City and Sunderland in the league, and their chaotic last minute win against Wycombe in the FA cup, have left the Tottenham faithful slightly on edge. Pochettino will be eager to prove that his squad isn’t stalling in its attempt to bring home their first top flight trophy since 1961, even as Chelsea edge even further in front. The slip up against Sunderland was a missed opportunity to capitalise on Chelsea dropping points against Liverpool and Arsenal’s utterly woeful home defeat against a Watford team who had lost to League 1 Millwall only 3 days before.

A classic Moyes rearguard action left Pochettino deeply frustrated on Tuesday, claiming that “We should have won. It was a massive opportunity to close the gap on Chelsea.” He wouldn’t be wrong to expect a similar approach from Aitor Karanka, whose Boro team’s only saving grace seems to be their ability to shut opponents out. Spurs will have to rekindle some of their flair of recent performances. But all things considered, they should expect to take 3 points at home.

Pochettino could well be without goalkeeper Hugo Lloris, and Kieran Trippier is in doubt as well. Danny Rose, Jan Vertonghen and Erik Lamela are all out with more long term injuries.

Treading water

Karanka’s perennial concern has been his team’s lack of goals; they have managed only 2 in the league in 2017, and 19 for the season overall. At first, it seemed their lack of goals might not be so compounding as to see them threatened by relegation, they were grinding out results at home and even picking up some away points at the beginning of the season. But in the cold, hard light of 2017, Boro are looking very capable of backsliding into a relegation dog fight. Sitting in 15th, with 21 points, a defeat to Spurs could potentially see them slip into the relegation zone for the first time this season, although there is only a slim chance of that happening.

Despite Spurs’ missing goalkeeper, it seems doubtful they will free scoring this Saturday. More likely, they will try and replicate their low scoring away draws with Man City and Arsenal earlier in the season. Head to head, there isn’t much to go on: Spurs won 2:1 in the corresponding fixture at the Riverside in September, but they haven’t otherwise played since 2009 when Boro was last in the Prem.

Boro have George Friend, Calum Chambers and Gaston Ramirez all unavailable.

The value

There is no value betting on a straight win for Spurs at 1/4 on Bet365, but Spurs to Win & BTTS No at 5/6 is tastier, considering Boro’s impotence up front, and could be worth including in an accumulator.

Bet Victor has Delle Alli to score anytime at 19/20 and Son Heung-Min at 5/4, which seems good value considering their form.

Premier League Betting: Can Chelsea Stake Their Claim

Last season was an absolute disaster for Chelsea. They were responsible for what was the worst title defence in the last 20 years. On top of all that they had to part company with Jose Mourinho, a manager that had not only delivered them three league titles but had also become the most successful manager in their history. It seemed to be asking too much back in August to expect the blues to mount a serious title challenge this season.

Just too Many Problems

The so-called “experts” had the two Manchester clubs as clear favourites for the title. So did the bookies. Chelsea had just signed a new manager in Antonio Conte. Although he had been hugely successful with Juventus, the Premier League was a step into unknown territory for him. Add to that the disastrous previous season and Chelsea just had too many problems coming into the 2016-17 season to fight for the title…..or so we thought.

Except the “experts” were wrong. Not only are Chelsea now serious title contenders, but Conte has imposed his system and style very rapidly, and the players at Stamford Bridge are responding to it very well. Their 5-0 hammering of Everton before the international break was the most complete performance by any team in the league so far this season.

Down by the Riverside

Chelsea travels to meet Middlesbrough at the Riverside on Sunday. Middlesbrough has made a solid if unspectacular start to the season. They stand only a point above the relegation zone. However, they have had several good results of late. They have drawn away to Arsenal and Manchester City while defeating Bournemouth 2-0 at home. It will be interesting to see how they handle Chelsea so soon after their games against the Gunners and City. Will this give us any clues as to who the champions will be?

It is often said that defences win titles. If that is the case then you have to make a serious case for Chelsea to not only challenge for the title but to actually win it. They have the offensive capability to match teams like City, Liverpool and Arsenal. Where Chelsea has the edge is in defence, and in the fact that Conte has given the entire team an identity. It will be a hard game away to Middlesbrough, but Chelsea over ninety minutes will be tough to stop.

So Place Your Bets

William Hill quotes Chelsea at only 1-2 to come out on top while a home win for Boro is a tempting 6-1. They also quote the draw at 4/1. So it’s time to make a bet. Betting on a team playing away from home in the Premier League at 1-2 never seems an attractive proposition. The league is too tough and volatile as Manchester City have found out recently. If you fancy Chelsea to win but don’t like the short odds, then how about a punt on the correct score? William Hill quotes 6-1 for a 2-0 Chelsea win, while you could get 15/2 if Chelsea wins 2-1.

City to Continue Their Winning Run

POOR old Middlesbrough face the toughest of challenges this weekend when they travel to an expectant Ethiad Stadium to face top of the table Manchester City.

City will still be buzzing after their super midweek 3-1 Champions League win against Barcelona. After a winless run of six games in October, they’ve won their last two matches remaining at the top of the Premier League table, and on course for the last 16 in the Champions League.

Pep Guardiola’s side are the shortest price on the Premier League coupon this weekend at just 1.25, and although those prices are far from attractive, they will win and should be included in all of our weekend accumulators.

City won their last Premier League match at West Brom 4-0. At home they’ve been scoring goals for fun, and this is a real test for the newly promoted visitors at the weekend.

Middlesbrough arrive in Manchester not in the best of form after just one win in their last eight matches; they haven’t won away from The Riverside since August at arch-rivals and bottom of the table Sunderland, and I really don’t give them much of a chance of an upset even at the 15.00.

Aitor Karanka’s side has drawn their last two away matches at West Ham and Arsenal, but this is a much tougher challenge, and if the home side get off to a flying start as I expect, this could turn into a rout very quickly.

City will win, but 1.25 is too short for me; but 1.72 with Coral is a decent price on City to be leading at half-time and then again at full-time, and on the asian handicap lines I also like the general 1.80 on a City win -1.5 goals.

Sergio Aguero has been getting all the plaudits for his goals and performances this season, and the Argentinian is a very short 3.75 to open the goalscoring. However, former Borussia Dortmund midfielder Ilkay Gundogan is in fine goalscoring form with four goals in his last two games. In a match that is expected to feature a whole host of goals, and mostly City ones, the 4.50 with Betfred on the German to score at anytime looks worth taking as well.

The Best Premier League Bets This Saturday

Two of the biggest clubs in London are in action this Saturday. In fact our Premier League betting recommendations feature both of these clubs. Tottenham and Arsenal will look to continue their good midweek results in the Champions League with wins in their respective Premier League clashes. Tottenham travel to Bournemouth while the Gunners host Middlesbrough.

Arsenal manager Arsene Wenger seems to have silenced his critics with a string of good results of late. The big question is how long will this last? We have highlighted some cracking bets from these two encounters starting with Bournemouth vs Tottenham.

Will Spurs Survive the Bournemouth Test?

Bournemouth were many people’s favourites to be relegated last season. In fact their story was almost as remarkable as Leicester’s title win, given how much money they had to spend. Bournemouth manager Eddie Howe has worked miracles on a shoestring budget and a small squad. That good work has certainly continued on into this season.

Solid results have led to Bournemouth climbing the table in recent weeks. They beat Everton 1-0 and crushed a dismal Hull City 6-1 at the Vitality Stadium. The question is will Tottenham have a European hangover after a tough midweek Champions League encounter?

The Vitality Fortress

Bournemouth can be backed at odds of 14/5 with SunBets and that seems like the standout bet here. This is closely followed by the draw at 5/2. Tottenham are Evens with SunBets but that seems too short given how erratic Tottenham can be. Couple this with Spurs having a tough game at Bayer Leverkusen in midweek, and we have the perfect ingredient for an upset.

The Arsenal Juggernaut Rolls on

Arsenal manager Arsene Wenger will be happy at the recent run of results his team has had. He has certainly silenced the critics for a while. Many of the harshest critics were their own fans. The opening day loss at home to Liverpool now seems a distant memory and the Arsenal faithful are starting to believe again.

The Gunners are currently joint top of the Premier League, and just behind Man City on goal difference. Arsenal also lead their Champions League group with 7pts and look strong favourites to progress there too. The 6-0 thumping of Ludogorets merely confirmed to us how good Arsenal are playing at the moment.

The Home Banker

So can Middlesbrough stop the red tide and hold back the mighty Gunners? Arsenal can be backed at 1-4 at SunBets with the draw at 5-1. Middlesbrough are deemed to be no hopers at 11/1! Usually after a Wednesday night Champions League encounter, energy levels are often a serious problem with teams playing Premier League fixtures on the Saturday.

However Arsenal had such an easy time of it against Ludogorets that this will hardly matter. It is very difficult to see Middlesbrough taking any points from the Emirates, and the best bet in this encounter is surely a home win for the Gunners!

Close on Paper but Watford Holds the Value against Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough takes on Watford at the Riverside on Sunday in what is a game that both sides believe equally they can win, but what’s the word in football betting circles? Both teams have had decent starts to the campaign but Boro has lagged of late. They have slipped to only two points above the drop zone and haven’t won in their last three league games.

Watford, on the other hand, has 8pts from their opening seven games which isn’t a bad return. They will travel to the Riverside fully believing that they can win this match and pick up all three points. This term, Middlesbrough have had something of a problem in finding the net. Just seven goals in seven games aren’t going to cut it at this level.

A Potent Threat

Watford on the other hand, seem to carry a much more potent threat going forward. The key question is where is the value? Do you think each team will cancel each other out? If so then back the draw! On paper, there isn’t really much to choose between these two teams. William Hill goes 23/20 on a home Middlesbrough win, while other firms like Stan James and BetVictor are 5/4.

We think the value though is in opposing Middlesbrough. They just don’t seem consistent and don’t seem to have the traditional home side edge. Watford is a good price 27/10 with Unibet as an away win. We feel that this bet perhaps linked with a draw could be the value.

Betbright is a best priced 12/5 for the draw. So a multiple bet on the draw and a Watford win should produce a nice profit.

Head to Head Stats

Watford just may have the psychological edge against Middlesbrough. This could be a key factor. Take into account the vital head-to-head stats for a minute. In the past five encounters, Middlesbrough has yet to beat The Hornets.

This even includes three matches at home where they have either drawn (twice) or been beaten. Also, Middlesbrough has only scored four times in those five games. They seem to be somewhat of a goal per game type of team. So if Watford scores, it is difficult to see Middlesbrough scoring twice, even at home.

The key to getting consistent results in the Premier League is in the chance conversion strike rate. Middlesbrough has a history of not scoring enough goals and this type of stat always puts the away team in with a shout.

Watford Always Score

Now here is a great stat for you. Watford always score! Yes, that’s right because in 15 out of the past 16 games vs Middlesbrough…..Watford has found the net! This all points to opposing Middlesbrough on Sunday. They do seem to be perhaps the most vulnerable of all the teams that are at home this weekend in the Premier League.

Only die hard Middlesbrough fans will be fancying their chances. The keen punters though will be looking at Watford and seeing them as one of the weekend’s value bets.

Can Middlesbrough Earn a Place in Football History?

When Middlesbrough Football Club’s men take to the pitch this weekend it won’t just be a potential three points on the line. Despite being relative minnows in the context of the Premier League, the Riverside team have enjoyed a fruitful start to the 2016/2017 football season and now they have a chance to go down in history.

For Boro, promotion from the Championship last season was a defining moment in the club’s history and Aitor Karanka’s side has a chance to add some more sparkle to their résumé with a victory over Crystal Palace.

With a win and two draws already under their belt, Middlesbrough are placed sixth in the Premier League’s three games. That sort of form means that Middlesbrough are already the most successful newly promoted side of the football season, but a win against Palace could take things a step further.

The Stats Favour Boro

According to the stats, a win on September 10 would make Middlesbrough the third most successful newly promoted Premier League side in history. What does that mean in reality? Well, in short, it means Middlesbrough are playing way beyond expectations so far this football season.

Of course, three points is clearly more important than a place in the history books, but there’s certainly nothing wrong with a little added incentive. In fact, a look through the current matrix of odds seems to suggest that Boro being on the cusp of something special has swayed the market. Bet365 and Unibet both have Boro as the 6/5 favourites, while BetVictor has as slightly better price at 13/10.

For those that like to rely on something more concrete than fate when they’re anteing up, it’s worth noting that Palace have only managed two League wins in 24 matches against Middlesbrough. Compounding that dismal record is the fact that Alan Pardew’s men have lost their opening trio of Premier League matches this season.

A Palace Win Could Raise a Few Smiles

Of course, we all know that football is a funny old game and you could be laughing all the way to the bank if Palace pull off an upset. Odds of 5/2 at Paddy Power and 13/5 at Betfred show some signs of value, while a slightly less lucrative 2/1 on a draw with William Hill appears to be something of a happy medium.

While the stats would suggest that Boro will clinch another three points on Saturday, there’s very little chance it will be a walkover. The pressure of a positive start can often hamper a newly promoted side and if this manifests itself over the weekend then Boro could quickly crumble. A single goal either way could easily determine the outcome of this game which makes Sky Bet’s markets an attractive proposition.

A Win Won’t Come Easy

8/11 on under 2.5 goals won’t pique the interests of many serious bettors, but 9/2 on a 1-0 Middlesbrough victory is certainly nothing to sniff at. Moreover, if you fancy the other side of the equation, a successful bet on a 1-0 victory for Palace will get a 13/2 return on your money, which by all accounts, appears to be one of the game’s best bets.

History might not be on Palace’s side, but a place in the history books could cause Boro to falter. Pressure can often turn strong sides into quivering wrecks, and if that happens on Saturday then Karanka’s men could find themselves in all sorts of trouble. However, if Middlesbrough’s players can block this fact out of their minds, another three points is certainly well within reach.

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