Tipsy Tipster Tips – Monday

Still trying to get over Quick Wit not winning on Saturday, the drift was beautiful and everything was tee’d up nicely for a 10-1 winner. Found one too good as usual for me, boo! If you got on each way you were handsomely rewarded at least.

Monday is the final day before one of the best flat festivals on the global stage takes place, so finding some value bets to build your bank roll is my job here, although I expect it will be trickier than it looks.

However.. I may of found a potential gem. This will be my one and only selection for the day.

Postscript 8:50 Warwick 6-1 Bet365

It doesn’t take a genius to work out why this is my NAP of the day, go look at the form figures, go on, work this out yourself.

.. Too lazy to look into it? Well basically, this horse should have the word “plot” branded onto its rear, its quite possibly one of the most blatant plots I’ve seen recently. The horse has many duck eggs by its name, having run over unsuitable distances. He’s now down to the his last wining mark after a decent 3rd place last time out.

You just don’t get a horse that wins easily enough, then finish in the following positions: 29 of 33, 5 of 9, 10 of 10, 12 of 15, then 3 of 6. All over different distances and different class levels (going up to class 3 and 2 after his last win). He’s back to the same mark, and down in class today.

If he doesn’t win, then I’ll hold my hand up. But I fully expect people to research the race in the morning and see what I’m seeing. He’s already gone in from 8-1 into 6-1 best odds, and is shorter with Ladbrokes (5-1) and others. He’s worth an each-way stab for sure.

MY NB is Royal Holiday. I originally planned not to have a NB, but this horse has transitioned well from the all weather and is potentially progressive enough to land the 3 timer in the 4:15 at Carlisle. Go ahead and enjoy the 4-1 with Bet365, if it wins, you’ll get a free bet in the 7:35 at Windsor.

**Update** Since this post was written, Postscripts price has drifted to 8-1. So after some early bets were struck at around 8-1 last night, the horse contracted and has now drifted again. Read into that what you will.