Will Tottenham Qualify for the Europa League?

Tottenham Hotspur takes on CSKA Moscow on Wednesday in what will be Spurs’ final game in this seasons’ Champions League. A string of mediocre performances means they cannot qualify for the knockout phase. They currently sit in third place in the group on 4pts and a point ahead of CSKA Moscow. So effectively this game has turned into a shootout for third place and a Europa League slot after Christmas.

It is debatable how much effort Tottenham have put into this years’ competition. Playing their home games at Wembley certainly hasn’t helped them. There may have been 80,000+ fans inside Wembley, but that can’t compensate for a home stadium back at White Hart Lane. In fact playing at Wembley seemed to motivate the opposition more than it did Tottenham in their two previous matches there. Given the recent mediocre performances of English teams in the Europa League, it will be interesting to see which team Mauricio Pochettino names for this match.

Will Tottenham go for the Win?

Under normal circumstances then Tottenham would be big favourites to qualify for the Europa League. They only need to avoid defeat at home and the Europa League place is theirs. CSKA Moscow, on the other hand, is a team to be respected. Their recent form hasn’t been good and recent defeats to city rivals Lokomotiv Moscow and Spartak Moscow within six days hasn’t done much for their confidence.

Tottenham won 1-0 in Moscow in their first encounter, but will the Wembley jinx strike again? CSKA currently sit 8pts behind leaders Spartak Moscow in the Russian Premier League. They do have some Europa League pedigree as they won the competition back in 2005. It’s really difficult to predict this game. Tottenham will likely take the Europa League spot, but you wouldn’t bet against CSKA Moscow getting a win at Wembley.

So Where is the Value

So which is the best bet? This isn’t an easy question to answer. Tottenham is 1-2 with Bet365 to win, but that isn’t a bet that should get you too excited. Now that Tottenham cannot qualify for the Champions League knockout stage, it will be interesting to see how much Spurs really want to be in the Europa League? The draw at 10-3 with Stan James is the preferred option and Bet365 quote 6-1 on a CSKA win.

An interesting side bet could be profitable here too. You can get 10-11 with Bet365 on both teams to score. Given that the Europa League will be a more attractive proposition for CSKA Moscow than for Tottenham, you would expect CSKA to go for goals. Tottenham should have enough quality in attack to score at some stage and this makes for a very interesting bet. As long as you stay clear of the really short odds for a Spurs win then you should be fine.