Tennis: Australian Open Finals Preview

Men’s Final

The Players

Andy Murray – 27 year old Scotland born 6th seed.  Two time grand slam winner, and interestingly, just seven days older than his opponent.  One of the better defensive exponents in the game.  An excellent returner of serve and ball retriever – he has looked in excellent shape at this year’s Open.

Novak Djokovic – The Serbian number one seed is the heavy favourite after not dropping a set until the Semi-Final.  Has history on his side at the Australian Open and already 7 major titles to his name.  Strong, patient player with no weaknesses.

The Road to the Final

Andy Murray

1st round: d. Y.Bhambri 6-3 6-4 7-6(3)
2nd round: d. M.Matosevic 6-1 6-3 6-2
3rd round: d. J.Sousa 6-1 6-1 7-5
4th round: d. [10] G.Dimitrov 6-4 6-7(5) 6-3 7-5
QF: d. N.Kyrgios  6-3 7-6(5) 6-3
SF: d. [7] T.Berdych 6-7(6) 6-0 6-3 7-5

Novak Djokovic

1st round: d. A.Bedene 6-3 6-2 6-4
2nd round: d. A.Kuznetsov 6-0 6-1 6-4
3rd round: d. [31] F.Verdasco 7-6(8) 6-3 6-4
4th round: d. G.Muller 6-4 7-5 7-5
QF: d. [8] M.Raonic 7-6(5) 6-4 6-2
SF: d. [4] S.Wawrinka 7-6(1) 3-6 6-4 4-6 6-0

The Pair’s History

Djokovic leads 15-8 overall and has won on the four most recent encounters.  Three previous Australian Open meetings all won by Djokovic.

The Pair’s Australian Open Record

Andy Murray – Three time finalist (2010, 2011, 2013).  Note, two of the loses to Djokovic.

Novak Djokovic – Four previous titles (2008, 2011, 2012, 2013), including three in a row between 2011-13.  Never lost an Australian Open Final.

The Odds (courtesy of Unibet Australia)

Andy Murray – $2.80

Novak Djokovic – $1.45

The Winner

If Murray plays as aggressively as he did against Tomas Berdych he has a good chance.  He’ll need luck, he’ll need Djokovic to be a little below his best, and he’ll need to keep those fiery emotions in check.  We don’t think he’ll have all those factors in his favour – we’re tipping Djokovic in four.  Check the odds on a tie-break in the first set too.

The Unibet Special

Throughout this year’s Australian Open, you can get your stake refunded as cash if your player goes down in five sets.

This special is available on your first ‘Match’ (head-to-head) bet on all Australian Open matches. Cash refund capped at $50 per match.

Women’s Final 

The Players

Serena Williams – The 33 year old jointly holds the record for the second most number of grand slam titles with Chris Evert and Martina Navratilova at 18 (Steffi Graf has the most at 22).  With a win in the 2015 Australian Open Final she’ll go into second on her own.

Maria Sharapova – At just 27 Sharapova has plenty of time to shake the Serena Williams hoodoo off, but needs to start soon.  Will take heart from Tomas Berdych’s win over Nadal after losing 17 in a row, after she herself has lost the last 15 against Serena.  Will call on her major final experience of which she has won 5.

The Road to the Final

Serena Williams

1st round: d. Alison Van Uytvanck 6-0 6-4
2nd round: d. Vera Zvonareva 7-5 6-0
3rd round: d. [26] Elina Svitolina 4-6 6-2 6-0
4th round: d. [24] Garbiñe Muguruza 2-6 6-3 6-2 (2h00)
QF: d. [11] Dominika Cibulkova 6-2 6-2
SF: d. Madison Keys 7-6(5) 6-2

Maria Sharapova

1st round: d. [Q] Petra Martic 6-4 6-1
2nd round: d. [Q] Alexandra Panova 6-1 4-6 7-5
3rd round: d. [31] Zarina Diyas 6-1 6-1
4th round: d. [21] Peng Shuai 6-3 6-0
QF: d. [7] Eugenie Bouchard 6-3 6-2
SF: d. [10] Ekaterina Makarova 6-3 6-2

The Pair’s History

Williams has totally dominated Sharapova over the years.  She holds an incredible 16-2 winning record against the Russian with the last victory coming in Miami last year.  The two share an incredible rivalry but if Sharapova can’t get another win soon, it will go down in history as an awfully one-sided rivalry.

The Pair’s Australian Open Record

Serena Williams – Has won the tile on five occasions (2003, 2005, 2007, 2009, 2010).

Maria Sharapova – One Australian Open title.  Won in 2008.

The Odds (courtesy of Luxbet Australia)

Serena Williams – $1.41

Maria Sharapova – $2.90

The Winner

Sharapova has done it easier than Serena thus far, but the gripping stranglehold might be too much to get past.  We see Serena winning this one in three.

Wimbledon 2014 Preview

Andy Murray defends his Wimbledon title after becoming Britain’s first Men’s Champion in 77-years. He reached the semi-finals of the French Open before being comprehensively beaten by Rafael Nadal but he will be more at home on this surface. He appears to be fully recovered from his back surgery and now has a new coach in the form of former Wimbledon Ladies Champion Amelie Mauresmo.

Rafael Nadal was brilliant in Paris but he is not the same player on grass. He is still good enough to have secured two Wimbledon titles but could be vulnerable in the opening rounds. Roger Federer is still a force to be reckoned with but it is difficult to see him winning at the age of 32 while Djokovic is the man to beat. He was beaten in straight sets by Murray in last year’s final but had been taken to five sets in his semi-final and I believe that proved crucial.

Recent history tells us that it is a waste of time looking beyond the big four but I’m tempted to put up three-time 2014 winner Grigor Dimitrov as an each-way alternative. He won at Queen’s Club last week and arrives here at the top of his game. He is young and fearless and could give us a good run for our money.

There is no doubt that the Ladies provided much the better entertainment in Paris and Maria Sharapova was superb. She fought back from a set down through all of the closing rounds including the final against Simona Halep and thoroughly deserved her second French Open title.

Serena Williams is the short-priced favourite and her early exit from the French certainly helped to make it a more interesting contest. You simply cannot back her at the current odds but she is obviously going to be tough to beat as she goes for a sixth Wimbledon title.

Williams has an incredible record against Sharapova, winning their last 15 meetings and they are due to meet in the quarter-finals. Beaten finalist Halep is the third seed here and she is likely to have another good tournament. She is well worth supporting at around 16-1.

The best value may be last year’s runner-up Sabine Lisicki who loves this surface and has reached at least the quarter-finals in her last three appearances here. There are any number of good players including Li Na, Jelena Jankovic and Agnieszka Radwanska that are capable of doing well in another excellent event.

Grigor Dimitrov at 20-1 Bet365, Paddy Power

Simona Halep at 18-1 Sportingbet

Sabine Lisicki at 25-1 Sportingbet

Each-way ½ odds 1,2