Tag: Aintree Festival

Grand National Day Betting Tips

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

This is our day at the bookies on the Grand National Day. It starts with an egg and bacon roll and a nice cup of tea. Then we head to the sofa and crack on researching our bets for the day. So we are going to share our Chicken Dinners today and give you our insight into what we are putting our cash on.

Aintree EW bet.

1 Utopie Des Bordes – 1.45 Aintree
2 Alderwood 2.15 – Aintree
3 Celestial Halo – 2.50 Aintree
4 Storm Survivor – 3.25 Aintree
5 Lost Glory – 4.15 Aintree
6 Local Hero – 5.10 Aintree

Aintree Double

Up & Go 1:45 Aintree & Solwhit 2:50 Aintree

Aintree Grand National singles

TeaForThree, Treacle, Imperial Commander, Quel Espirt, Always Waining, Seabass

Daily Double

Greenhead High 1:35 Newcastle & Up & Go 1:45 Aintree

Football Bets – Both Teams to Score.

1 Reading v Southhampton
2 Norwich City v Swansea City
3 West Brom v Arsenal
4 Watford v Cardiff
5 Coventry City v Brentford
6 Ayr United v Alloa
7 Stranraer v Brechin City

1 Reading v Southampton
2 Norwich v Swansea
3 Milton Keynes Dons v Crawley Town
4 York v Accrington Stanley
5 Bolton v Wolverhampton
6 Stoke v Aston Villa
7 Coventry v Brentford

Scoop6 Betting

1 Utopie Des Bordes (7) 1.45 Aintree 3 Places To Run
2 Alderwood (1) 2.15 Aintree 2 Places
3 Wildomar (8) 2.25 Lingfield 3 Places
4 Solwhit (12) 2.50 Aintree 3 Places
5 Cantlow (4) 3.25 Aintree 4 Places
6 Seabass (6) 4.15 Aintree 4 Places
Ballabriggs (9)
Teaforthree (10)
Cappa Bleu (18)

Grand National – Saturday 6th April 2013 Tips

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

Well ladies and gents, today is Grand National day, and i for one, couldn’t a flying expletive.

Don’t get me wrong, as a spectacle, it’s great. As a betting proposition, it’s horrible. I’m going to stick to horses i have more of a read on, as opposed to trying to find the winner of the yearly equine lottery.

Greenhead High – 1:35 Newcastle – NAP 2-1 Bet365

Pass the fire extinguisher, this horse is on fucking fire. After a successful AW campaign Greenhead High came out on turf last time (Previous best placing was 3rd) and won in decisive fashion. The draw is a concern, and the extra weight is a concern, but i have got a soft spot for a horse that can dominate all weather, then head to turf and continue the trend. He obviously likes the ground and although he has an extra 6lbs to carry, he firmly put two of todays rivals (Roy’s Legacy & Pull The Pin) in their places last time. Roy’s legacy who finished 2nd that day has an extra 5lbs to carry, a weight he’s only managed to win off once.

Greenhead High won off 10-6 three runs ago, 10-2 two starts ago..

Decent Fella – 17:25 Lingfield – NB – 9/2 Bet365

Now, i feel dirty next besting this. But i was alerted on Twitter earlier as to a potential dirty plot being setup by Violet Jordan, the dodgiest, and Rakebackmypoker who own the horse. This horse has run over a wide range of different trips to what it’s used to, and is now back to a distance he’s won at, and at a weight he’s won off.. This could go horribly wrong, but if we know Violet Jordan like we do, we feel this was obviously one big plan to win here today. Two years ago it won a class 3 event at Newmarket, and came 5th in the Buckingham Palace stakes at Royal Ascot, but has done very little since, hmmmm…

UPDATE Oh look, what a surprise, Decent Fella has been withdrawn..

Time for a quick replacement:

Up & Go – 13:45 Aintree – NB – 2/1 Paddy Power

I’ve won some decent money on this beast so he owes me nothing, but as a replacement for Decent Fella he’ll be my NB. In Feburary this horse demolished a decent class 2 field that included the ceaserwitch winner Aim To Prosper. Today he takes on a proven class 1 winner in Dodging Bullets who will find this lineup easier to beat than before, but he hasnt really shown his class over his last few runs, so hes a live danger. Uptoie Des Bordes was one of my Cheltenham Antepost selections and she ultimatly disappointed despite finishing 5th behind At Fishers Cross. She’s a group 1 winner in france, so rates as a real danger if she puts her best foot forward, but I’m more than happy to stick by Up & Go.

Aintree Festival Tips – Friday 5th April 2013

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

Great day for us on Thursday! Cheeky double landed again. Lets see if we can continue the winning trend.

Broadway Buffalo– 16:50 Aintree – NAP 8-1 Skybet

This horse has been a bit of a revelation over the last 6 months. He started life out in a Worcester maiden and has since gone on to win 5 races on the bounce. Undefeated. He won last time as top weight in a class 4 race at Plumpton at 39 lengths. He’s been around Aintree before at 2m 1f, so is familiar with the course. This race is wide open to be honest, with the likes of Cheltenham Festival winner Salubrious and County Hurdle flop Cotton Mill.

He could progress further and is an unknown quantity in terms of racing in Listed company, but you just never know.. will be interesting.

Rathvawn Belle – 17:25 Aintree – NP 20-1 Bet365

Bit of a stab in the dark here, we’ve only got 1 race to go on. Rathvawn Belle won a Punchestown maiden quite easily on debut at an un-fancied 33-1. It then changed hands and joined the Lucinda Russell yard for 45,000£. The 2nd from that maiden (25-1 shot) won next time out beating the supported Aerlite Supreme at limerick, nothing else from the race has won however(front two well enough clear, so not surprising). I’d advise small stakes here, based on Thursdays results, it wouldn’t suprise me if some big prices win today.

Grand National meeting Day 2 Preview

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

Two races into the opening day and I was already putting a line through it and looking ahead to Friday’s card! In my opening day preview I had forgotten to mention that sometimes horses go backwards after running at Cheltenham. It is on days like these that you take comfort from the fact that the flat season will be getting into top gear shortly.

Friday’s card features the reappearance of Sprinter Sacre, the horse that has been the subject of more hype than any jumper in recent memory. He has coped with it admirably so far, winning the Arkle Trophy easily last year and then sauntering to victory in the Queen Mother Champion Chase last month. The problem is that there doesn’t appear to be anything around that can give him a race. Lining up against him on Friday are Ryanair Chase winner Cue Card and the Irish challenger Flemenstar. Cue Card was put in his place by Sprinter Sacre last season and Flemenstar is dropping back in trip after failing to stay three miles. The field also contains last year’s Champion two-miler in Finian’s Rainbow, finally getting the chance to race on a decent surface after floundering in the heavy going on his most recent outings.

The two and a half mile trip has been put up as a possible reason for Sprinter Sacre to be beaten but I don’t see it. Aintree is a flat turning track and the better ground is not going to make this a stamina test. The race does not offer much in the way of a betting contest but I’m sure that the hype will go into overdrive once again tomorrow.

Nicky Henderson’s My Tent Or Yours is odds-on to atone for his Cheltenham defeat in the opener and Dynaste (2.30) is also on a recovery mission after finishing second in the Jewson. Both horses cruised into the home straight at the festival but found one too good in the closing stages. At Fishers Cross is aiming for a sixth consecutive victory later in the 4.15, although trainer Rebecca Curtis will be anxious to make sure that there is sufficient give in the ground. With so many short-priced favourites on the card it could be a difficult day to eke out a profit. Perhaps one of those generous bookies will be offering enhanced terms on all four hot pots?

If you fancy a better price for your money, The Topham Trophy (3.40) and The John Smith’s Daily Mirror Punters Club Handicap (4.50) might be more to your liking. The Topham won’t quite be the same without Always Waining. He has won it for the last three years but will be going for the Grand National on Saturday. Races over the National fences are so few and far between that it’s difficult to be confident but I may have an each-way interest in Tartak here. He ran a good race at Cheltenham when finishing third behind Carrick Boy and he did win at this meeting in 2009. Alan King has his horses in fine form and poses a problem by saddling both Meister Eckhart and Manyrivertocross in the 4.50. Both ran well at the festival and look worthy of each-way support.

Accumulator: My Tent Or Yours, Dynaste, Sprinter Sacre, At Fishers Cross

Tartak 14-1 Skybet, William Hill
Meister Eckhart 10-1 Bet365
Manyrivertocross 14-1 Bet365

Aintree Melling Chase Betting Preview

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

Normally when i write a preview with Sprinter Sacre in it, the preview usually goes along the lines of:

“Sprinter Sacre, jumps and he wins.”

Not in this preview however. Don’t get me wrong, hes a class animal, the most gifted of the Melling Chase field and a potential legendary superstar in the not to distant future. He’s unbeaten over fences at 2miles. He was beaten over hurdles at 2m 3f a few years ago, and the distance in the Melling Chase is 2m 4f. When you look at the sorts of horses he’s beaten over the past 2 years, you can ask yourself, what has he actually beaten? Sure, he beat Cue Card by 7lengths at Cheltenham last year, but after that he beat Toubab, Kumbeshwar, Mad Moose and Sizing Europe.

Now, i’m not knocking the horse in any way, he can only beat whats put in front of him. Henderson recently told Channel 4 that the horses parents both have 3m pedigree, and that they’re desperate to try further distances. The Melling Chase will be his biggest task to date. Flemenstar(4-1 Stanjames) and Cue Card come here in top form. Flemenstar has won multiple group 1s between at distances over 2 miles, including over the 2m 4f distance (when he got the better of Sir Des Champs by 5 lengths over Christmas). He took the step up to 3 miles as prep for the Cheltenham Gold Cup, but was beaten twice, by small margins. Had he won both those races, he could of quite easily placed at the Cheltenham Gold Cup.

One major concern for Flemenstar is the fact he hates to travel. He gets himself so worked up it effectives him mentally. This is why he hasnt left ireland yet, currently trips across ireland to race cause much distress. This isn’t a good sign. No one will know whether he’ll travel soundly to the UK, if he does, he has a great chance of challenging Sprinter Sacre, if he doesn’t, he could even be withdrawn as to not distress the animal. It’s entirely possible they may not even try to travel him over if he shows signs of distress. Hmm.

Cue Card (6-1 Paddy Power) is interesting. He’s beaten all of the horses in the lineup apart from Sprinter Sacre and Flemenstar, obviously. He beat First Lieutenant over 2m 5f last time by 9lengths in the Ryanair at Cheltenham. First Lieutenant prior to that beat Sir Des Champes and Flemenstar in the Gold Cup Trial over 3 miles. Read into that what you will. We know Cue Card handles the ground, the trip and has course form, finishing 2nd in the Mersey Novices Hurdle in 2011. He’s really matured well and is turning into an exciting individual.

What’s the bet? Well, the equation to work out this race is:

If Sprinter Sacre stays 2m4f he wins
If Sprinter Sacre doesn’t stay 2m4f as well as two horses with distance form, he loses.

The fate of the race is in Sprinter Sacres hoofs. He’s currently 1/3 to win and rightly so on reputation alone. This is his toughest test and i could see Sprinter Sacre -> Flemenstar/Cue Card forecasts being the way to play here. I’ve already done an antepost wager on Cue Card on Coral, at 8-1 in a Sprinter Sacre, Flemenstar & Cue Card match bet.

It’s not a race to put your house on, my heart tells me Cue Card can beat Sprinter Sacre, but my head keeps on telling me Sprinter Sacre has pedigree to run over further and can progress yet again. Caution is advised.

Aintree Betfred Bowl Chase Preview

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

To me, this really couldn’t be more of a two horse race. There are some sorts in here who keep turning up and just cant beat the best horses around.

The Giant Bolster (9-1 Stanjames) – Sure, he came 3rd in last years Gold Cup at a huge price(beaten 11 lengths), and finished 2nd and 3rd to Silviniaco Conti (beaten 7 lengths both times), but the only horse of any note hes managed to beat in the last 3 years is Poquelin.. If you want a horse that could creep into 3rd for a small each way return, this could be your horse. To win? No chance.

Menorah (12-1 Stanjames) – Once upon a time he threatened to actually be a decent horse. He won the Betfred Manifesto Novices Chase at last years Aintree festival beating Cristal Bonus and Al Ferof, then struggled in Ireland and got beaten 34 lengths by the progressive Cue Card. He has since then beaten a regressive Hunt Ball, finished 21 lengths behind Silviniaco Conti at Newbury and and a tailed off and eventually pulled up effort in the Ryanair, again against Cue Card. He keeps failing to bring home the bacon. He’ll no doubt have his supporters as an each way proposition, but he’s not for us.

Golden Chieftain (28-1 Stanjames) – Won the JTL Speciality at Cheltenham this year (Grade 3). This is a Grade 1. He was targetted for that race and that race alone, he’s punching above his weight here.

Quito De La Roque (10-1 Stanjames) – I was actually a big fan of this horse a few years ago, he couldn’t stop winning! 2012 was a bad year, he kept placing, but not winning. He bounced back in amazing fashion to win a grade 2 race (beating the ultra consistent Roi Du Mee by 6l). He’s won grade 1 races before and is a bit of a dark horse here. Interesting.

Wishfull Thinking (20-1 Skybet) – This horse almost falls into the same category as the Giant Bolster, but the difference is, Wishfull Thinking has actually won races over the last few years, including a win in the Totepool Manifesto Stakes in 2011 at the Aintree Festival. He either runs a blinder and gets placed (albiet, a long way behind the winner) or runs an absolute shocker. His jumping isnt great (He famously fell at Cheltenham last year, falling into a crowd of photographers, luckily no one was seriously hurt..) Again though, if Each way is your thing, he could cling on for a place.

What a friend, Wayward Prince, Whodoyouthink – Not the same class as the above

Then, we get onto Silviniaco Conti and First Lieutenant

First Lieutenant (7-2 Bet365) – Won 2 from 12 over Fences, but he loves to place. He’s placed in 10 out of his 12 starts. He had the beating of Sir Des Champs and Flemenstar two runs back, only to be headed by Tidal Bay. At Cheltenham he was a laboured 2nd 9 lengths behind Cue Card (that made us quite a bit of money that day, lovely forecast and tricast returns!). He’s a serial placer and makes for near perfect forecast material..

Silviniaco Conti (1/1 Paddy Power) – Went on a 4 win streak beating the likes of Long Run and The Giant Bolster (not a massive achievement that one, but still reasonable). He beat Cheltenham course specialist Champion Court by 13l in last years Mildmay Novices Chase (Grade 2) at Aintree Festival last year and ended up being well fancied by the nicholls camp for the Gold Cup. He went off at 4-1 and was in with a shout when falling 3 out. Would he of won? Who knows, we think not, but he’d of made a race of it for sure.

The play here would be a forecast, but it won’t pay a great amount mind. Silviniaco Conti to beat First Lieutenant. Throw in Wishfull Thinking / Quito De La Roque for a tricast for optimal returns.