So, the time has come. The climax of the jump season is upon us and we’re super excited.
Where is the value today? There are some short prices which we won’t be trying to take on, they’re almost nailed on.
My two bets for today are: Arabella Boy in the Cross Country Chase and Jezki in the Supreme Novices Hurdle.
Let’s start with Jezki. The dogs are barking for this horse. The irish are raving about this and Pont Alexandre. This Grade 1 winner from Ireland has impressively disposed of some quality animals over the last 3 months. Champagne Fever, Zuzka, Minsk, Waaheb, Hisaabaat and others have had their flags lowered by Jezki. He’s not run up a stiff hill like at Cheltenham before, which is a downside, but almost everything else is in his favour. Only 3 favourites out of the last 20 have won this race, and with Jezki 2nd favourite, that helps. My Tent Or Yours is the favourite and was oh so impressive last time out, hardly coming off the bridle. I feel this is a two horse race and we take Jezki to get the better of MTOY, just.
Arabella Boy won in decent style over Christmas in a cross country chase over 3 miles at Punchestown. Getting headed then asserting on the run in, thats the sort of quality you need from a horse who’s running over 3 miles, a will to win. This won’t be a huge betting heat, this race is overshadowed by some high profile races before it, and i just feel Arabella Boy has the quality to win this race.
Last years 2nd in the Cross Country Bostons Angel was some 40 lengths behind Arabella Boy on that day. Outlaw pete has been a shadow of his former self after winning the Cross Country last year so i feel everything is falling into place nicely for Arabella Boy to pickup gold for Ireland.
As for the other races, i fully expect Simonsig, Our Mick, Hurricane Fly, Quevega and Carlito Brigante to win/be placed.
Betfair:
Bet on Henrik Stenson to become the BMW PGA Championship Winner.
Paddypower:
Back Australia to take the Ashes home with them.
Betway:
Back Rafael Nadal to become the Mens French Open Winner.
Coral:
Back One For Arthur to win the Grand National.
Bet365:
Back Mexico to win the Confederations Cup.
