Coverage of American racing has never really taken off over here. It is hardly surprising given the vast amount of domestic racing we have to plough through. However, we do sit up and take notice when it comes to the Triple Crown races and the Breeders’ Cup.
Tonight sees the 145th running of the Belmont Stakes and it is being billed as a clash between Kentucky Derby winner Orb and Preakness winner Oxbow. The betting upholds the general view that veteran jockey Gary Stevens was allowed to steal the Preakness from the front and the placings will be reversed this time.
The latest weather reports from Belmont suggest that there is a real possibility of the race being run on a similarly sloppy surface to that at Churchill Downs. This should not inconvenience Orb and there seems to be plenty of confidence that he can return to winning ways tonight.
Another problem for Oxbow is that he is likely to be challenged for the early lead by the striking chestnut Freedom Child. This colt won the Peter Pan Stakes by over 13 lengths in “slop” last time out and connections have already declared their intention to try to run their rivals ragged. You have to admire their candour. All too often we are left cursing the riders of well-backed favourites for holding up their mounts and getting boxed in or leaving them too much ground to make up.
That won’t be an issue for supporters of Freedom Child at Belmont Park. I watched a video of him sluicing through the slop and he had his rivals cooked well before the turn. Apparently the track will be rolled and sealed for the water to drain off but there seems every likelihood that it will be testing. The danger is that the front two may cut each other’s throats and set the race up for Orb but he is also stepping up in trip.
The filly Unlimited Budget also has form on this kind of surface and represents the stable that sent out Rags To Riches to be the first filly to win the Belmont in over 100 years. Her pedigree suggests that she may struggle to get the mile and a half.
She is trained by Todd Pletcher who saddles five in the race, presumably he is the American equivalent of Aidan O’Brien! The pick of them seems to be Revolutionary who was third in Kentucky and has been supported into 9-2 this week. He also saddled five at Churchill Downs but is having another crack at Orb here.
Unlimited Budget will be ridden by Rosie Napravnik who is trying to emulate Julie Krone, winner of the 1993 Belmont on Colonial Affair. Napravnik has already set a new best placing for a girl with her fifth in the Derby and third in the Preakness. Win or lose, she will certainly become the first female rider to compete in all three legs of the Triple Crown in the same year.
It all adds up to an interesting contest and I’m going to put my faith in the front-running Freedom Child at odds of 7-1.
Freedom Child 7-1 Stan James
Betfair:
Bet on Henrik Stenson to become the BMW PGA Championship Winner.
Paddypower:
Back Australia to take the Ashes home with them.
Betway:
Back Rafael Nadal to become the Mens French Open Winner.
Coral:
Back One For Arthur to win the Grand National.
Bet365:
Back Mexico to win the Confederations Cup.
